上周（4月10日-4月14日），國內銷售逐步進入尾聲，新單成交不旺，出口市場表現尚可，磷酸二銨市場弱勢維穩運行(xing)。4月(yue)(yue)17日(ri)，中(zhong)國磷酸二銨批(pi)發(fa)價格(ge)(ge)指數(shu)（CPPI）為(wei)(wei)2710.28點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)下跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)2.55點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)為(wei)(wei)0.09%；同比(bi)下跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)56.49點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)為(wei)(wei)2.04%；比(bi)基期(qi)下跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)511.49點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)為(wei)(wei)15.88%。4月(yue)(yue)17日(ri)，中(zhong)國磷酸二銨零售(shou)價格(ge)(ge)指數(shu)（CPRI）為(wei)(wei)2848.64點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)下跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)2.43點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)為(wei)(wei)0.09%；同比(bi)下跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)92.37點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)為(wei)(wei)3.14%；比(bi)基期(qi)下跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)526.28點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)為(wei)(wei)15.59%。
供應情況：清(qing)明過后，國(guo)內市場(chang)(chang)整體進入購銷淡季，企業(ye)內銷發(fa)(fa)貨基本(ben)完(wan)成，市場(chang)(chang)新單(dan)寥寥，企業(ye)將銷售重心(xin)逐漸向出(chu)(chu)口市場(chang)(chang)轉移。出(chu)(chu)口市場(chang)(chang)方面，企業(ye)以執行前期出(chu)(chu)口訂單(dan)為主，集港(gang)、發(fa)(fa)貨正常運行。市場(chang)(chang)需求清(qing)淡，企業(ye)開工率(lv)維持平穩態(tai)勢(shi)運行。
需求情況：清明過后，東北、西北地區春耕用肥陸續展開，各地市場貨源充裕，經銷商出貨心態急切，局部拋貨現象嚴重，價格呈現下跌態勢。國際市場方面，近期印度化肥補貼(tie)政策(ce)出爐，價格(ge)小幅下(xia)降8盧比(bi)/噸，和2016-2017年差別不大(da)，且近期標(biao)購力度增加(jia)，但壓價態勢明顯，企業(ye)出口挺價困(kun)難。
國際市場(chang)：上周(zhou)，國際磷(lin)酸二銨市場(chang)整體持(chi)(chi)穩(wen)，局(ju)部下(xia)滑。其中，美(mei)(mei)國坦帕港FOB（離岸價）為(wei)(wei)(wei)370美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)，與前周(zhou)相比，持(chi)(chi)穩(wen)；突尼斯FOB為(wei)(wei)(wei)386-391美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)，持(chi)(chi)穩(wen)；摩(mo)洛哥FOB為(wei)(wei)(wei)386-391美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)，持(chi)(chi)穩(wen)；波羅的(de)海/黑海FOB為(wei)(wei)(wei)376-381美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)，持(chi)(chi)穩(wen)；中國FOB為(wei)(wei)(wei)351-361美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)，低端(duan)下(xia)滑5美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)，高端(duan)下(xia)滑10美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)。阿根廷CFR（到岸價）為(wei)(wei)(wei)375-385美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)，與前周(zhou)相比，高低端(duan)均下(xia)滑5美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)；印度(du)CFR為(wei)(wei)(wei)365-369美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)，低端(duan)下(xia)滑3美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)，高端(duan)持(chi)(chi)穩(wen)。
國(guo)內市場(chang)：據(ju)協會監測的21個省(sheng)(sheng)份數據(ju)顯示，中(zhong)國(guo)磷酸(suan)二銨批發價格(ge)(ge)漲(zhang)(zhang)跌(die)互現。其中(zhong)，河北、湖北、廣東、新(xin)疆4省(sheng)(sheng)份價格(ge)(ge)呈上漲(zhang)(zhang)態勢，上漲(zhang)(zhang)幅度(du)分別在(zai)7-125元/噸；北京、山西、內蒙古、山東、甘肅(su)5省(sheng)(sheng)份價格(ge)(ge)呈下跌(die)態勢，下跌(die)幅度(du)在(zai)11-100元/噸，其他(ta)省(sheng)(sheng)份價格(ge)(ge)保(bao)持穩定。
目前，國內市場(chang)需求持(chi)續降溫，新單(dan)跟進乏(fa)力，企(qi)業內貿發貨已進入尾(wei)聲，企(qi)業已開(kai)始將銷售重心向(xiang)出口市場(chang)轉(zhuan)移，目前出口新單(dan)交投情(qing)(qing)況一(yi)般(ban)，短期(qi)內在預收訂單(dan)支撐下(xia)，銷售暫無壓力。綜上所述(shu)，預計近(jin)期(qi)磷(lin)酸二銨(an)市場(chang)維持(chi)弱穩態勢，價格(ge)仍存下(xia)行風險(xian)，后期(qi)重點(dian)關注出口博弈情(qing)(qing)況。
