上(shang)周(zhou),上(shang)游(you)原(yuan)(yuan)材料生(sheng)(sheng)產商(shang)依然保持低開(kai)工(gong)率(lv)(lv),供(gong)貨(huo)緊張,價格高(gao)(gao)位震蕩(dang),預計春節前難有(you)轉變(bian)。原(yuan)(yuan)藥生(sheng)(sheng)產商(shang)受(shou)環保壓力(li)(li)、原(yuan)(yuan)材料中間(jian)體價格高(gao)(gao)位及開(kai)工(gong)問題影響,處(chu)于惜售(shou)狀(zhuang)態,且大部(bu)分(fen)在(zai)交前期訂單(dan),新單(dan)相(xiang)對很少。下(xia)(xia)游(you)制劑企業主(zhu)要(yao)以(yi)實際接單(dan)補貨(huo)為(wei)主(zhu),持觀望態度,比較謹慎。渠(qu)道商(shang)不(bu)敢高(gao)(gao)位補貨(huo),之前備貨(huo)相(xiang)繼(ji)拋出,后期補貨(huo)謹慎,觀望為(wei)主(zhu)。終端客戶需(xu)求(qiu)不(bu)旺,詢單(dan)少,成(cheng)交率(lv)(lv)低,也保持觀望態度。目前,原(yuan)(yuan)藥價格受(shou)到環保壓力(li)(li)、開(kai)車率(lv)(lv)不(bu)足(zu)、中間(jian)體原(yuan)(yuan)材料價格高(gao)(gao)位的共同(tong)支撐,在(zai)高(gao)(gao)位震蕩(dang),供(gong)需(xu)矛(mao)盾是否緩解最終取決于下(xia)(xia)游(you)需(xu)求(qiu)是否能帶動市場(chang)。
上周,大部分除草劑維持前周價格,波動不大,高位震蕩,代表性品種草甘膦價(jia)格(ge)相比前(qian)(qian)周(zhou)(zhou)趨(qu)于穩(wen)定(ding),但(dan)有下(xia)滑態(tai)(tai)勢。目前(qian)(qian),廠(chang)家(jia)主流價(jia)格(ge)維(wei)持(chi)在2.6萬(wan)(wan)(wan)~2.65萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(噸(dun)計,下(xia)同),渠道商(shang)手上(shang)(shang)(shang)貨(huo)源價(jia)格(ge)已(yi)(yi)經(jing)跌破2.6萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan),預計能到2.55萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)左右(you)。三(san)嗪類阿特(te)拉津(jin)原(yuan)藥(yao)系列由于原(yuan)材料一乙(yi)(yi)胺(an)緊張(zhang),市(shi)場缺貨(huo),價(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)調,工廠(chang)上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)(zhou)報價(jia)穩(wen)定(ding),預計接(jie)下(xia)來要開始上(shang)(shang)(shang)調。連云港(gang)立本(ben)報價(jia)維(wei)持(chi)在2.3萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(起(qi)訂量為10噸(dun)以(yi)上(shang)(shang)(shang));安(an)徽中(zhong)山價(jia)格(ge)相對偏高(gao)(gao),依舊(jiu)(jiu)保(bao)(bao)持(chi)在2.5萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan);山東科賽(sai)依然保(bao)(bao)持(chi)在2.35萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan),目前(qian)(qian)各大廠(chang)家(jia)都可(ke)以(yi)接(jie)新(xin)單。與此同時,其它三(san)嗪類西馬(ma)津(jin)含量97%的(de)2.8萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan);莠滅凈含量97%的(de)報價(jia)4.2萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)。氟(fu)(fu)樂靈原(yuan)藥(yao)目前(qian)(qian)一直(zhi)保(bao)(bao)持(chi)高(gao)(gao)度緊張(zhang)態(tai)(tai)勢,但(dan)是價(jia)格(ge)趨(qu)于穩(wen)定(ding),廠(chang)家(jia)報價(jia)一直(zhi)維(wei)持(chi)在3.2萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)左右(you)。烯(xi)草酮各家(jia)報價(jia)穩(wen)定(ding),維(wei)持(chi)在18萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan),但(dan)是實際成交(jiao)可(ke)能已(yi)(yi)經(jing)往下(xia);幾家(jia)工廠(chang)目前(qian)(qian)供貨(huo)偏緊張(zhang),并且南美市(shi)場會在二三(san)月(yue)份啟(qi)動(dong),后期(qi)價(jia)格(ge)一時難說(shuo)。二氯喹啉酸上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)(zhou)保(bao)(bao)持(chi)高(gao)(gao)位,市(shi)場主流價(jia)格(ge)85%以(yi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)的(de)15萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(折百),95%以(yi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)已(yi)(yi)經(jing)達到20萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan),預計后期(qi)還會堅挺(ting);同時由于原(yuan)材料、中(zhong)間(jian)體短缺造成持(chi)續(xu)高(gao)(gao)位的(de)有乙(yi)(yi)氧(yang)氟(fu)(fu)草醚、2,4-D原(yuan)藥(yao)、苯達松(song)、硝磺草酮、氯氟(fu)(fu)吡氧(yang)乙(yi)(yi)酸、氟(fu)(fu)磺胺(an)草醚、芐嘧磺隆原(yuan)藥(yao)依舊(jiu)(jiu)沒有得(de)到緩解,保(bao)(bao)持(chi)緊張(zhang)態(tai)(tai)勢,價(jia)格(ge)堅挺(ting),交(jiao)貨(huo)困難。煙嘧磺隆、精(jing)喹禾靈、炔草酯(zhi)、氰氟(fu)(fu)草酯(zhi)目前(qian)(qian)均處于穩(wen)定(ding)態(tai)(tai)勢,變動(dong)不大。
殺蟲劑
上周,殺蟲劑依舊保持高位震蕩,趨于穩定,部分產品工廠報價相對有下滑,但是也有部分產品有抬頭的架勢,只是幅度不大。菊酯類功夫菊酯、聯苯菊酯由于開工率不足,價格相對上調,江蘇春江目前報價含量96%以上的25萬元,上調了5000元。聯苯菊酯目前工廠開車率更低,市場上有少量的貨源流出,渠道商報價已經達到31萬元左右。煙堿類吡蟲啉、啶蟲(chong)(chong)脒、毒(du)死蜱、噻(sai)蟲(chong)(chong)嗪原(yuan)藥(yao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)有(you)所(suo)松(song)(song)(song)動,吡蟲(chong)(chong)啉(lin)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)周維持(chi)21.5萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左右,渠(qu)道商(shang)(shang)手上(shang)的(de)貨源價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)更低,含量97%的(de)在21萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左右;啶蟲(chong)(chong)脒由(you)使用(yong)于季(ji)節未到(dao),價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)依(yi)(yi)然(ran)在22萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左右,渠(qu)道商(shang)(shang)報(bao)(bao)(bao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)含量97%的(de)21萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左右;毒(du)死蜱原(yuan)藥(yao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在4.8萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)~5萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)之間,連云(yun)港(gang)立本隨(sui)著(zhu)園(yuan)區(qu)環(huan)保核查(cha)結束,目前(qian)對外報(bao)(bao)(bao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)依(yi)(yi)然(ran)保持(chi)5元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan);南京紅太(tai)陽含量96%以(yi)(yi)(yi)上(shang)的(de)報(bao)(bao)(bao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)4.8萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。噻(sai)蟲(chong)(chong)嗪由(you)于中(zhong)間體噻(sai)唑、惡二嗪工(gong)廠(chang)供貨緩(huan)解,也緩(huan)解了之前(qian)的(de)緊張狀態,現(xian)在價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)有(you)所(suo)松(song)(song)(song)動,但(dan)是(shi)(shi)工(gong)廠(chang)開車率(lv)不(bu)足,生產(chan)商(shang)(shang)報(bao)(bao)(bao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)依(yi)(yi)然(ran)維持(chi)在14萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左右,渠(qu)道商(shang)(shang)報(bao)(bao)(bao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)13.5萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左右。烯啶蟲(chong)(chong)胺由(you)于開車率(lv)嚴重不(bu)足,雖然(ran)原(yuan)材料中(zhong)間體價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)有(you)所(suo)松(song)(song)(song)動,但(dan)是(shi)(shi)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)一直(zhi)居高(gao)不(bu)下(xia),并且(qie)一貨難(nan)求,廠(chang)家價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)一直(zhi)維持(chi)在30萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)以(yi)(yi)(yi)上(shang),還有(you)上(shang)漲的(de)勢頭。殺(sha)螟(ming)單(dan)、殺(sha)蟲(chong)(chong)單(dan)目前(qian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)相對穩定,廠(chang)家均可(ke)接單(dan)。虱(shi)螨(man)脲原(yuan)藥(yao)從(cong)之前(qian)漲幅最(zui)高(gao)的(de)28萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左右,下(xia)調至26萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)后,開始穩定震蕩,現(xian)在工(gong)廠(chang)可(ke)以(yi)(yi)(yi)接單(dan),交(jiao)期(qi)都到(dao)年后,渠(qu)道商(shang)(shang)現(xian)貨報(bao)(bao)(bao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)偏高(gao),含量97%的(de)26.5萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左右。阿維精粉、甲(jia)維鹽系(xi)列依(yi)(yi)然(ran)保持(chi)穩定,價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)波動不(bu)大,生產(chan)商(shang)(shang)陸續可(ke)以(yi)(yi)(yi)接單(dan)。吡丙醚價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)隨(sui)著(zhu)原(yuan)材料的(de)緊張,價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)也開始上(shang)浮,目前(qian)已經達到(dao)18.5萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)以(yi)(yi)(yi)上(shang)的(de)高(gao)位,后期(qi)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)一時(shi)難(nan)下(xia)滑(hua)。
殺菌劑
上(shang)(shang)(shang)周,殺菌酯相(xiang)對趨于(yu)(yu)穩(wen)定(ding),波(bo)(bo)動不(bu)大(da)。三唑(zuo)類(lei)中苯醚(mi)甲(jia)環(huan)唑(zuo)由(you)之前(qian)(qian)的(de)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)也(ye)已趨于(yu)(yu)穩(wen)定(ding),價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)維(wei)(wei)持在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)23.5萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan),渠道(dao)商(shang)貨(huo)源在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)22.8萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan);三丙環(huan)唑(zuo)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)報價(jia)(jia)從(cong)17萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)下(xia)調(diao)至16萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you),渠道(dao)商(shang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)有可能更低(di),在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)15萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you);三唑(zuo)酮含量(liang)95%以(yi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)的(de)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)報價(jia)(jia)在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)8.6萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you);三環(huan)唑(zuo)依然維(wei)(wei)持在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)7.6萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan),價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)調(diao)了1000元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan);己唑(zuo)醇由(you)于(yu)(yu)生產(chan)比較集中,開工率(lv)低(di),廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)最(zui)近(jin)不(bu)報價(jia)(jia),渠道(dao)商(shang)貨(huo)源在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)17萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you)。惡霉靈(ling)、異菌脲也(ye)都(dou)處(chu)于(yu)(yu)高位盤整,不(bu)改緊張(zhang)態勢。惡霉靈(ling)由(you)于(yu)(yu)原材料緊張(zhang),目前(qian)(qian)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)維(wei)(wei)持在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)16萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you),生產(chan)商(shang)相(xiang)對來說比較少(shao),造成(cheng)供貨(huo)非常緊張(zhang)。戊(wu)唑(zuo)醇原藥價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)穩(wen)定(ding),供貨(huo)得到一定(ding)緩解,工廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)報價(jia)(jia)在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)14萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you),實際接單(dan)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)13萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you),渠道(dao)商(shang)的(de)貨(huo)源價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)偏低(di),12.8萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you)。咪(mi)鮮(xian)胺由(you)于(yu)(yu)之前(qian)(qian)一波(bo)(bo)上(shang)(shang)(shang)調(diao),目前(qian)(qian)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)維(wei)(wei)持在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)9萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you),廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)報價(jia)(jia)在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)9.15萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan),市場(chang)實際成(cheng)交在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)8.8萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you)。氟酰(xian)脲類(lei)由(you)于(yu)(yu)中間體斷貨(huo),目前(qian)(qian)都(dou)非常緊張(zhang)。氟環(huan)唑(zuo)由(you)于(yu)(yu)生產(chan)的(de)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)非常少(shao),開車率(lv)低(di),廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)報價(jia)(jia)已達到60萬(wan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you),部分少(shao)量(liang)貨(huo)源在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)渠道(dao)手上(shang)(shang)(shang)也(ye)到了58萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you);氟硅(gui)唑(zuo)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)報價(jia)(jia)在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)30萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。甲(jia)霜靈(ling)目前(qian)(qian)高度緊張(zhang),價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)一直(zhi)維(wei)(wei)持在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)12萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)以(yi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)。吡唑(zuo)醚(mi)菌酯今年一直(zhi)不(bu)溫不(bu)火(huo),價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)從(cong)年前(qian)(qian)的(de)最(zui)高點34萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)一直(zhi)下(xia)滑到目前(qian)(qian)的(de)30萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan),還是殺不(bu)住(zhu)車,雖然廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)目前(qian)(qian)報價(jia)(jia)在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)30萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you),但(dan)是實際成(cheng)交在(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)(zai)29萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)(zuo)(zuo)右(you)(you)。其他品種多菌靈(ling)、甲(jia)基(ji)硫菌靈(ling)、嘧菌酯、噻呋(fu)酰(xian)胺處(chu)于(yu)(yu)穩(wen)定(ding)。
中間體
上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)(zhou),中間(jian)(jian)體(ti)(ti)延續(xu)前(qian)(qian)(qian)周(zhou)(zhou)緊(jin)(jin)張(zhang)勢(shi),價(jia)(jia)格(ge)堅挺(ting),高(gao)位震蕩。目(mu)前(qian)(qian)(qian),部(bu)(bu)分(fen)中間(jian)(jian)體(ti)(ti)持(chi)續(xu)走高(gao),維持(chi)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)高(gao)位的(de)有(you)精胺(an)、乙基(ji)氯(lv)化物、咪唑(zuo)烷、2-氯(lv)-5氯(lv)甲(jia)基(ji)噻唑(zuo)、功(gong)夫酸、胺(an)醚(mi)等。精胺(an)維持(chi)前(qian)(qian)(qian)周(zhou)(zhou)態(tai)(tai)勢(shi),生(sheng)產(chan)(chan)(chan)商(shang)開(kai)(kai)車(che)率(lv)(lv)低(di)(di):連云(yun)港東金開(kai)(kai)車(che),預計(ji)年前(qian)(qian)(qian)很難再開(kai)(kai)工,湖北(bei)沙隆達、江蘇藍豐自身又(you)供給不足,造成(cheng)極(ji)度緊(jin)(jin)張(zhang)狀態(tai)(tai),影響到(dao)下(xia)(xia)(xia)游(you)產(chan)(chan)(chan)品乙酰甲(jia)胺(an)磷緊(jin)(jin)張(zhang)局面(mian),目(mu)前(qian)(qian)(qian)工廠都不報價(jia)(jia),不接單,主(zhu)(zhu)流參考(kao)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)維持(chi)在(zai)(zai)2.55萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)右(you)(you)(you)。乙基(ji)氯(lv)化物受到(dao)寧夏的(de)環(huan)保(bao)壓(ya)力,生(sheng)產(chan)(chan)(chan)商(shang)一(yi)直開(kai)(kai)車(che)不穩(wen)定,開(kai)(kai)車(che)率(lv)(lv)低(di)(di),造成(cheng)極(ji)度缺貨(huo),目(mu)前(qian)(qian)(qian)廠家(jia)主(zhu)(zhu)流價(jia)(jia)格(ge)在(zai)(zai)3萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)右(you)(you)(you)。功(gong)夫酸主(zhu)(zhu)要還是(shi)連云(yun)港園(yuan)區三(san)家(jia)企業未開(kai)(kai)車(che),造成(cheng)市(shi)(shi)面(mian)上(shang)(shang)(shang)沒貨(huo),廠家(jia)報價(jia)(jia)上(shang)(shang)(shang)調(diao)至(zhi)23萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)以上(shang)(shang)(shang),并且一(yi)貨(huo)難求。胺(an)醚(mi)維持(chi)前(qian)(qian)(qian)周(zhou)(zhou)態(tai)(tai)勢(shi),工廠不報價(jia)(jia)、不接單,主(zhu)(zhu)要還是(shi)生(sheng)產(chan)(chan)(chan)下(xia)(xia)(xia)游(you)產(chan)(chan)(chan)品丙草(cao)胺(an)原藥(yao)(yao),交付之(zhi)前(qian)(qian)(qian)未完成(cheng)的(de)訂單,目(mu)前(qian)(qian)(qian)市(shi)(shi)場主(zhu)(zhu)流價(jia)(jia)格(ge)維持(chi)在(zai)(zai)4.5萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)右(you)(you)(you)。咪唑(zuo)烷雖然下(xia)(xia)(xia)游(you)原藥(yao)(yao)產(chan)(chan)(chan)品價(jia)(jia)格(ge)有(you)所(suo)松動(dong),但是(shi)由(you)于(yu)(yu)環(huan)保(bao)開(kai)(kai)車(che)率(lv)(lv)低(di)(di),市(shi)(shi)場上(shang)(shang)(shang)嚴重缺貨(huo),造成(cheng)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)居高(gao)不下(xia)(xia)(xia),預計(ji)要到(dao)年后才能緩解供需(xu)方的(de)狀態(tai)(tai),目(mu)前(qian)(qian)(qian)市(shi)(shi)場主(zhu)(zhu)流價(jia)(jia)格(ge)在(zai)(zai)6萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)右(you)(you)(you)。與此同時,一(yi)部(bu)(bu)分(fen)中間(jian)(jian)體(ti)(ti)由(you)于(yu)(yu)下(xia)(xia)(xia)游(you)市(shi)(shi)場未啟動(dong),價(jia)(jia)格(ge)有(you)所(suo)回調(diao),如三(san)氮(dan)唑(zuo)、雙(shuang)甘(gan)膦(lin)、惡二嗪(qin)、三(san)聚氯(lv)氰(qing)等。三(san)氮(dan)唑(zuo)由(you)于(yu)(yu)下(xia)(xia)(xia)游(you)三(san)唑(zuo)類產(chan)(chan)(chan)品目(mu)前(qian)(qian)(qian)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)趨(qu)于(yu)(yu)穩(wen)定,成(cheng)交率(lv)(lv)低(di)(di),價(jia)(jia)格(ge)有(you)所(suo)下(xia)(xia)(xia)調(diao),含量(liang)97%以上(shang)(shang)(shang)的(de)從之(zhi)前(qian)(qian)(qian)的(de)7.7萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)調(diao)至(zhi)7.5萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)右(you)(you)(you),部(bu)(bu)分(fen)渠(qu)道(dao)商(shang)手上(shang)(shang)(shang)已經出現了7萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)右(you)(you)(you)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)的(de)貨(huo)源。雙(shuang)甘(gan)膦(lin)上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)(zhou)維持(chi)在(zai)(zai)1.53萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)右(you)(you)(you),成(cheng)交率(lv)(lv)低(di)(di);三(san)聚氯(lv)氰(qing)維持(chi)在(zai)(zai)1.35萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。
后期預判:
原材(cai)料、中間體(ti)、原藥價格(ge)延續(xu)之(zhi)前走(zou)勢,保持著(zhu)高位(wei)(wei)震蕩,受到(dao)上游(you)原材(cai)料高位(wei)(wei)、廠家開車率低、下游(you)需(xu)求(qiu)分化(hua)的影(ying)響,部(bu)分產品(pin)價格(ge)上調,部(bu)分價格(ge)下調,出現(xian)兩極分化(hua)現(xian)象,但是幅(fu)度(du)都不是很(hen)大。
從目前的環保壓力大、工廠開車率低,下游需求未到現狀來看,產品供應和需求一時難改緊張態勢。由于春節的到來,部分渠道商提前備的貨源想換成現金,也會相應拋出一部分低價貨源,但是這些貨源已經不多,大部分都已經出售完,不足影響整個農藥價(jia)格走勢。與此同(tong)時,由(you)于下游需求的慢慢啟(qi)動,農藥生產商開始相應(ying)地拉高(gao)價(jia)位,來迎(ying)接新年(nian)的到來。