今年以(yi)來，盡管(guan)農作(zuo)物病害比去(qu)(qu)(qu)年嚴重，但大宗常(chang)規殺(sha)菌(jun)劑(ji)(ji)價格(ge)卻低于去(qu)(qu)(qu)年或與去(qu)(qu)(qu)年同期持平(ping)。造成這一狀況的(de)(de)主要因素(su)有(you)3個：一是(shi)國(guo)際原油價格(ge)反(fan)彈后再(zai)度(du)回落，促使國(guo)內原材料價格(ge)下跌，使生產成本(ben)降(jiang)低；二是(shi)殺(sha)菌(jun)劑(ji)(ji)產品嚴重供大于求(qiu)，預計(ji)今年全國(guo)殺(sha)菌(jun)劑(ji)(ji)生產量為14萬噸(dun)（折百計(ji)）左右，而(er)內需(xu)總量為7.6萬噸(dun)左右；三是(shi)外貿訂單減少，出(chu)口不暢。目(mu)前(qian)生產企(qi)業(ye)有(you)的(de)(de)只(zhi)能(neng)保本(ben)經營(ying)，有(you)的(de)(de)出(chu)現(xian)虧(kui)損，各地庫(ku)存量較大。
從品(pin)種(zhong)上(shang)看，對葡(pu)萄(tao)孢屬(shu)和核盤菌屬(shu)有特效的內(nei)吸性殺菌劑腐(fu)霉(mei)(mei)利因生產(chan)企業較(jiao)少，國(guo)內(nei)使(shi)用量(liang)也少，受原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)材(cai)料(liao)跌(die)(die)價的影(ying)響不大(da)(da)(da)，企業出(chu)廠價與(yu)去年(nian)(nian)(nian)同期(qi)(qi)持平(ping)(ping)，98%腐(fu)霉(mei)(mei)利原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)粉(fen)9萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)（噸(dun)價，下(xia)(xia)同），50%腐(fu)霉(mei)(mei)利粉(fen)劑6萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。三唑(zuo)(zuo)酮目(mu)前銷(xiao)售(shou)較(jiao)平(ping)(ping)，95%三唑(zuo)(zuo)酮原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥已回落到(dao)6萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，同比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)3000元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。烯(xi)唑(zuo)(zuo)醇因原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)材(cai)料(liao)價格(ge)便宜，90%烯(xi)唑(zuo)(zuo)醇原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥19.5萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，12.5%烯(xi)唑(zuo)(zuo)醇可濕(shi)粉(fen)4.5元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，同比(bi)(bi)均下(xia)(xia)降5000元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。跌(die)(die)幅最大(da)(da)(da)的是(shi)大(da)(da)(da)噸(dun)位品(pin)種(zhong)戊唑(zuo)(zuo)醇和多(duo)菌靈(ling)(ling)。戊唑(zuo)(zuo)醇今年(nian)(nian)(nian)前期(qi)(qi)在小麥病害(hai)防治上(shang)用量(liang)不大(da)(da)(da)，后期(qi)(qi)銷(xiao)量(liang)將決定于(yu)8月中下(xia)(xia)旬水稻稻曲病的發生情況(kuang)。由于(yu)該(gai)產(chan)品(pin)出(chu)口形勢不好(hao)，很多(duo)企業已停(ting)產(chan)。目(mu)前戊唑(zuo)(zuo)醇原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥市場價為14萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，同比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)2萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)；25%戊唑(zuo)(zuo)醇可濕(shi)粉(fen)7.5萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，同比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)7000元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左右。多(duo)菌靈(ling)(ling)是(shi)一個國(guo)內(nei)需(xu)求量(liang)在1萬(wan)(wan)(wan)噸(dun)以上(shang)的大(da)(da)(da)品(pin)種(zhong)，今年(nian)(nian)(nian)因原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)材(cai)料(liao)價格(ge)下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)，國(guo)外采購量(liang)減少，國(guo)內(nei)同類品(pin)種(zhong)增多(duo)而使(shi)競(jing)爭力(li)下(xia)(xia)降等原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)因，使(shi)多(duo)菌靈(ling)(ling)價格(ge)降至近幾年(nian)(nian)(nian)來的最低點，目(mu)前98%多(duo)菌靈(ling)(ling)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥出(chu)廠價為2.6萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，同比(bi)(bi)跌(die)(die)幅為48%。此(ci)外，甲霜靈(ling)(ling)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥14萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，咪鮮胺原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥5.1萬(wan)(wan)(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，福美雙可濕(shi)粉(fen)8500元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，都(dou)出(chu)現大(da)(da)(da)幅度的降價。
